Wednesday, November 19, 2014

Severe Weather in China

1. Tornadoes: 
     Tornadoes can form in large thunderstorms in regions where powerful vertical wind shear occurs.  Some basic requirements is that the cold outflow of air from downdrafts does not undercut the updraft.  The strong vertical wind shear helps to create horizontal spin, which upon being lifted up can begin to rotate.  A strongly rotating and long lasting thunderstorm can lead to the formation of a tornado.  Tornadoes can grow quite large and when that rotating air column exceeds 5 - 10 km diameter it is clued a mesocyclone indicating the scale of the tornado is large enough to fit in the mesoscale criteria.
      In the Unites States tornadoes usually travel to the northeast as depicted by the chart below and for the most part affect the eastern half of the country, although tornadoes can travel in all directions, based on close inspection of the compass rose in the center of the chart and the colored specks representing tornadoes all over the continental U.S. 



     The reasons this is the dominant direction in the US is determined by two main factors.  First the majority of tornadoes are formed east of the Rocky Mountains as depicted and pretty well explained by the chart below.  The other main reason is that the predominant winds in the Northern Hemisphere are Westerlies thus driving the tornadoes to the east.


Tornadoes happen in most countries and certainly occur in China  I was only able to find information on one tornado in Guizhou Province in 1995, which may have been responsible for 37 deaths.   
However this document indicated a need for a citation so it wasn't really good proof.
Guizhou Province is found in the southeaster interior of the country.  So while the U.S. has approximately  1200 tornadoes a year I could not find a single substantiated tornado in China.  
However, the chart below indicates that tornadoes have occurred, albeit infrequently in southeastern China.
From:  http://www.windows2universe.org/earth/Atmosphere/tornado/agri_map.html

Based on the graph below Tornado Occurrences appear to have increased over time, however, the most likely reason these figures may not be accurate are based on two factors.  First documentation of historical events requires both the initial recording of the event and substantiation.  The dates of the graph stretch from the early 1950's well before the advent of the internet and cell phones, which have made recordings of events much easier to document. The other factor may be that for a tornado to be documented requires that it be sited and the opportunity for that requires that more people occupy more of the land to witness it.

     On the other hand the number of Tornadoes over the years could have increased in recent years for many reasons including but the main ones stemming from severe weather events that have seen increased temperatures colliding with cold temperatures, in the case of the U.S. the rise does seem dramatic.

2. Hurricanes:
      The three main requirements for hurricane to form are usually over tropical waters where the winds are light and water temperature is warm typically over 80 degrees F,  and the humidity is high extending up through the troposphere.  As China is such a large country which lies as far south as 20 degrees South Latitude, with borders to the Pacific Ocean,which can be quiet warm it is vulnerable to hurricane activity.  However, in China the term Typhoon is used instead of Hurricane.  The term Typhoon originates from the Cantonese world "Tai Feng"
From:  http://factsanddetails.com/china/cat10/sub64/item398.html
     For the most part typhoons first affect the Philippine and Japanese Islands where they are often broken up so the damage to mainland China is not as substantial.  As typhoons are the appropriate term for Pacific Ocean generated hurricanes it will be used as a synonym for hurricane when spoken of in the future.  Other regions where hurricanes form include the Caribbean and in the Indian Ocean where hurricanes or typhoons are known as tropical cyclones.  See the map below for a visual depiction of these terms.

     Although similar the below map better indicates where hurricane, typhoon and tropical cyclones occur 
From:   http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/climo/images/tcformation.png

     In the Unites States hurricanes generally form in the Caribbean Sea and then travel to the northwest till they approach the larger Continental U.S. land mass.  Upon reaching the higher latitudes the Westerlies play a large part in pushing those storms back to the east so they will travel to northern Europe.  Those that encroach onto the U.S. mainland typically break up due to the friction with land and those that turn early and head back out to the Atlantic Ocean are soon broke up due to the much cooler ocean temperatures.
  
      China experiences Typhoons which are the equivalent of hurricanes.  Compared to the U.S. that has on average 12 Tropical Storms or Hurricanes annually (See image below).  China on the other hand experiences Typhoons less frequently based on website searches approximately 1 per annum is typical. 
From:  http://factsanddetails.com/china/cat10/sub64/item398.html



Sunday, November 2, 2014

Daily Weather in China



 1.   My Country’s (China's) Capital City is Beijing and I will be forecasting the weather for the 3rd, 4th, and 5th of November 2014.  The forecasted high for 3 November 2014 is 62 F and the forecasted low is 36 F, the forecasted high for 4 November is 60 F  and the forecasted low is 38 F, and the forecasted high for 5 November is 63 F and the forecasted low is 37 F.   During that period the forecasted precipitation percent is 0%.  Additionally during those three days the average pressure is forecasted at 30.09 inches Hg.  Initially falling to low pressure by Tuesday afternoon and then increasing thru Wednesday night .The average wind speed over the three day period is forecasted to be about 6 mph remaining relatively constant over the three day period.
Fromhttp://www.wunderground.com/q/zmw:00000.1.54511?


2.  The image below comes from www.wunderground.com.  As it is hard to locate Beijing until you look closely let me help find it more quickly.  Find the word Continent on the left side of the image and follow that to the right.  Immediately above the number 69 is Beijing.  Also note that the website doesn't have radar for this image.


Currently Beijing specifically and China as a whole is almost entirely covered with warm low clouds except in northwestern China where the clouds are high and cold as depicted by the blue color.  Unfortunately the radar for this image wasn't working so we can't see the precipitation however we do see a tropical storm brewing in the Southeast.  This storm is just east of Taiwan and northeast of the Philippines.  The area surrounding Beijing is heavily vegetated and includes hundreds of lakes, rivers and streams  and other smaller bodies of fresh water.  Mountains border Beijing to the northeast and sweep around it to the northwest and to west.  The mountainous region has the majority of its large forests.  Beijing itself is mostly an urban area but has hundreds of green spaces mostly including parks as well as many small lakes and rivers.

3. The following two images were found at www.intellicast.com  


This first map is predominantly of geographical South Asia, China is almost fully represented with only the extreme north and souther portions missing.  The isobars in China range from Lows at 1012 mb in the northeast to highs at 1024mb both in the Tibetan Plateau and southeast China.  Cold fronts are approaching China from the West and North while warm fronts approach from the southeast and east.  Cold fronts from China are also heading into the east while warm fronts heading into the north from China.



This larger map includes all of Asia here you can see the areas of high pressure mainly sweep from the northwest clockwise to the east with some highest pressure in Central China with isobar at 1024 mb.  Low pressure systems are spread around but predominate to the far northwest and to the west.  The lowest pressure is 988 mb located in the Arctic Ocean north of Russia.  Additional fronts for this area show an occluded front in Russia.  We also see the tropical storm or typhoon approaching southeast Asia in the lower portion of the map.  
You need to include two maps.  One that is zoomed in closer and one that gives you a wider look. Save the images or “Print Screen” to include them in your blog.

Under each map discuss what you see.  What isobar pressures are observed?  Are there any H pressures? Are there any L pressures? On the regional and larger maps? Are there any fronts? If so, what type are they and where are they located (north, south, east, or west of your country). You need to write 4-5 sentences for each map.

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